Tuesday, December 23, 2014

SZ or DZ with long wicks

Tip :

- Zoom down to LTF at the wicky areas..

Adv

1. Instead of putting trade at proximal line at HTF SZ or DZ,  you have better trade

(Rem :usually long wicks SDZ. . Price have tendency to go deeper into SDZ zone to reach  the wick)

2. Higher WoW probability trade at LTF. . HTF WoW may miss and LTF  WoW higher chance to trade

Monday, December 22, 2014

How Weekly CP DZ win Daily reversal SZ

Notes

1. Weekly CP DZ in control. . A strong fresh and original with good base and good departure

>> remember weekly still up because no demand zone has been taken out (bullish consolidation )

2. Monthly also up (bullish consolidation)

3. Monthly reacting bullish on a flip zone

4. Clean and strong arrival to weekly zone  ( hence odds enhancer that weekly DZ will rebound high)

5. Confirmed by strong bullish engulfing after reacting to weekly CP DZ  

6. Daily overextended  and rather compressed with a lot of wicks 

7. Weekly also overextended ending into a strong and fresh DZ. .hmm.. think of spring effect. .. rebound fast?

*** Listen to Hugh sharing  - " it's been one week and I been so bored only one trade.. I know I am breaking the rule but I just wanna short it when I am not allowed. . I have found a lot of reason to justify my wrongdoing (e.g. I found a confluence of weekly Ema 20 etc. .)

Bull and Bear traps

E.g of bull trap (and very bad WoW trade). Daily dropping to extreme demand zone.. long opportunity here?

But

1. Monthly SZ in control
2. Weekly SZ in control
3. Daily DZ nested not in weekly DZ
4. Worst.. Daily DZ is part of a long weekly candle wick that gets liquidity  from the weekly DZ 

(Note : this so called "extreme DZ" is not found in weekly nested DZ but part of the top part of the weekly candle wick)

Hence. .v likely bull trap..

-------------

2. See the CP  Supply zone tested many times. . Finally broke with a gap up but there is a bigger demon  waiting.. fresh and original  extreme daily supply and and extreme not tested WICK and area of weekly SZ supported by monthly SZ. . Hence the bull trap

Sunday, December 21, 2014

Good e.g. of WoW trades

1. Monthly in control (wick hit)

2. Weekly WoW

3. Daily WoW nested in weekly

4. Optional : look for H4 entries

E.g. of Failed SD trades

Good example of poor WoW even follow the rules..





Reasons why Short failed at daily even follow rules?

And : reflect and read the price action!  Ask what is against me?

1. Monthly up

2. Weekly SZ by very wicky  candles

3. Weekly up.. EMA 20 in control
   No weekly demand zone removed..

4. Daily.. CP demand formed. . Reduce risk reward

5. Monthly CP DZ in control

Saturday, December 20, 2014

Optimism key points (hidden stuff)

If I think deeper. .

1. Take note CAGR more than 12 percent..

E.g. Sino grandness is 42 percent!.. OSIM , ezion

2. Look for GIANT  .. by FA and Optimism

2 a.  Wait for giant to "fall down"
2 b.  When to "support" the Giant?

3. Financial crisis?

  3 a.  Stock near 100%
  3 b. property near 100%
3. C. Commodity near 100%

4. Don't just see index. .like Dow Jones or S&P .. near historical high..

^^ remember that there is inflation. . So naturally the index should go up!

5. Key for optimism.. need to go through 2007/2008!

Tuesday, December 16, 2014

HTF - if the HTF is bad.. all the LTF is bad!

E.g. if weekly SZ in control. . All the DZ in LTF is bad...

Note : E. G. weekly  SZ in control, reach a daily area of flip zone.. that is not a reason to long as there is no DZ..

We are SD traders and we strictly only trade on SD levels.. no level no trade even though there can be super reversal or  continuation candlestick of super support or resistance  line. .

Rem.. the key of SD traders is to trade with the institution. .

Friday, December 12, 2014

Divergence trader tips for SD

1. Use 1 hour intra charts for entry

2. Use divergence at major supply and demand zones

Key for Jeff Sun

1. Scanning is only first part...

2. The 2nd part and one of the key is his buy stop and sell stop.

E.g. although i sxan and find 41 bullish reversal scan.. and yesterday DJI drop 300 points ..

However all my longs are not executed because of the buy stop. Whereas my sell stop orders are executed.

3. the next key is using stop loss using ATR

Sunday, December 7, 2014

Price action examples

1. Monthly chart.. all time high with fake breakout

2. Weekly.. strong resistance as candles can't close above.  Also see there is a harami and later a bearish engulfing

Harmonic trading essentials

Essential slides