Robin 23 Jan 2016

1. This year big surprise. New year .. market had mini crash ..usually new year will have some rally

2. Yield curve - assist to predict future economy

3. Dollar.. if it is bull. It will crash the market.. esp emerging markets

4. Aussie.  Just broke a trend channel. Still short Aussie.  No turning yet

5. 2016.. year for shorts!!!!

Window Dressing

Window dressing -Bullish

1. March
2. June
3. Dec

Window dressing -Bearish

4. Sept

Christmas and thanksgiving- Don't trade!

World cup - Don't trade!

Because market slows down 

Bank holidays don't trade!

Bull market - take only longs and cover longs when there is a bearish signal

In bull market where the trend is up,  don't do counter trend shorts!

Bearish signals are for longs exit or covering and not to take new sell positions!

Stocks to see

1. Home bancorp

2. Valutronics

3. Golden agri

4. Sino tech

5. Baic motor

6. Cathays pacific

7. 8206 C Comm

8. Lenovo

Enneagram

1. Write also abt good things..be careful not too negative abt type

2.stress point

3. Quotes  .. put quotes

4. Link back to type center ....driven by head centre

5. Traits

6. At the end.. introduce some action and reflection

Counter trend trading

Especially..

1. Hammer/ shooting star and family

2. WoW ..esp H4 WoW with daily downtrend!

Fucking key rules

1. Money manganemnt -max 1% trade!

Impulsive vs corrective moves

Using identifying impulsive and corrective moves to trade as much with the trend as possible..

****the trend is my only friend!

Hence trend should be my 内功 and most important fundamental! !!

As what Jimmy Tong scolded me.. I must trade with the trend as much as possible!

Characteristics of impulse move

1. Very obvious.. the direction can be seen

2. Big red (or white) candles that easily engulf many opposing candles by eating up then(E. G.  1 candle eat up 4 candles ) in the direction of trend

3. In the direction of trend (E. G. Bearish) most of the candles are red ( more than 80 percent are red candles)

4. The close of the candle is near the entire candle low Itself ( I. E. No or v short  wicks)

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Characteristics of corrective moves

1. Sprinkling of white and black candles in the direction (50-60 percent of each colour )

Tug of war going on.. less commitment

Hence higher chance market goes against me and I kana stopped out

2. Many spinning tops or Doji ( or g
Hammers and inverted hammers mid of trend). .indicating a lot of indecision.. there is probably no big hands supporting amd mostly retailers fighting each other
(A lot of price rejection pushing to middle )

3.many relatively smaller candles compared to rest